Challenge Pass Probability Simulator

Run 10,000 challenge attempts against your edge profile and estimate how often the rules let you through before daily loss, total drawdown, or time runs out.

Prop-firm note

Prop-firm rules vary by firm, account type, and date. FreeTraderHub is not affiliated with any prop firm, and you are responsible for confirming that any tool or workflow used from this site is permitted under your firm's terms.

Firm & Account

Load the challenge rule set and account size first. The simulator uses the selected preset or your custom rule inputs for daily loss, total drawdown, and Phase 1 target.

Firm

Don't see your firm? Request it →

Account size

Daily loss rule —

Total drawdown —

Phase 1 target —

Your Trading Edge

The Monte Carlo run treats each trade as independent, keeps risk fixed in dollars, and checks the firm's daily-loss rule after every individual trade.

Win rate (%) Average reward : risk ratio Risk per trade (% of account) Average trades per day Max days to attempt

Input changes trigger a new 10,000-trial run automatically after a short debounce so the simulator does not re-fire on every keystroke.

Pass Probability

—

Change any input to run the 10,000-trial simulation.

FreeTraderHub may earn a commission if you sign up to a prop firm via links on this site. Affiliate disclosure.

← Back to Prop Cockpit